Avangard Podolsk vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Podolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
LOK
3 - 2
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
APO
5 - 1
NIM
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
APO
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
ORE
0 - 2
APO
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
APO
0 - 1
ZVE
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
ORE
62%
21%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 2
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
FAK
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
MET
0 - 1
SPA
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | -1 |