Avangard Podolsk vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Podolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
APO
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
APO
0 - 0
FKG
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 1
APO
63%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
APO
1 - 2
ZEN
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
KOS
0 - 1
APO
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KAL
2 - 0
ORE
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
ZVE
0 - 0
KAL
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
KAL
0 - 0
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
FAK
3 - 1
KAL
39%
27%
35%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |