Avangard Podolsk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Podolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
KAL
2 - 1
APO
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
APO
2 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 2
APO
27%
25%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
APO
2 - 1
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 2
APO
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
FAK
2 - 1
ORE
29%
27%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
ZVE
0 - 3
FAK
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
FAK
0 - 1
MET
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
FAK
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 1
FAK
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |