Avangard Kursk vs Znamya Noginsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FKF
1 - 0
AVA
8%
17%
75%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
KAL
70%
20%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SAT
5 - 0
AVA
23%
26%
50%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SOK
0 - 0
AVA
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 0
FMV
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Znamya Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
0 - 4
PER
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
1 - 1
SOK
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SAT
0 - 3
ZAN
5%
12%
82%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FMV
1 - 2
ZAN
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BVN
1 - 1
ZAN
25%
21%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |