Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 0
AVA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
TOR
21%
28%
51%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZVE
1 - 1
AVA
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
AVA
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 1
SAT
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
ENE
5 - 1
ZEN
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MET
2 - 4
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 2
ZEN
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ZEN
1 - 1
TOR
10%
25%
65%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |