Avangard Kursk vs Akhmat Grozny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LAD
2 - 2
AVA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
KAM
2 - 0
AVA
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
AVA
0 - 1
SST
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
AVA
0 - 0
URA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
YEN
1 - 3
AVA
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
TER
1 - 3
FAK
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
TER
1 - 2
KUB
44%
29%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
DMK
0 - 1
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
LAD
0 - 2
TER
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2006 |
KAM
2 - 0
TER
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |