Avangard Kursk vs Sibir Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SNN
0 - 0
AVA
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 1
AVA
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 0
VOL
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 1
ANZ
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
MAS
2 - 1
AVA
44%
28%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SIB
2 - 0
FAK
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
SIB
1 - 3
KUB
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
DMK
3 - 2
SIB
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
TER
2 - 0
SIB
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
SIB
0 - 1
LAD
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |