Avangard Kursk vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
ZEN
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 0
AVA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
TOR
21%
28%
51%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZVE
1 - 1
AVA
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ENE
0 - 1
SAT
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 1
SAT
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAT
1 - 1
KAL
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
SAT
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAT
1 - 0
ZVE
25%
27%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |