Avangard Kursk vs Salyut Belgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
6º
35
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
35 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 9 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAT
2 - 4
AVA
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FDV
0 - 2
AVA
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SOK
1 - 1
AVA
60%
22%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
KAL
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Salyut Belgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
MET
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 1
SAL
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
FKS
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ZVE
0 - 4
SAL
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |