Avangard Kursk vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
0 - 3
AVA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 0
SKA
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
AVA
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
FDC
2 - 1
AVA
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
AVA
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
ZEN
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
ORE
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 2
KPP
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
ORE
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
STR
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |