Avangard Kursk vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 4
AVA
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 0
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ZEN
2 - 1
AVA
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
AVA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ORE
2 - 4
VIT
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SOK
3 - 1
ORE
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ORE
2 - 0
ZVE
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FKG
2 - 1
ORE
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
ORE
2 - 1
LOK
55%
25%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |