Avangard Kursk vs Metallurg Oskol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ZVE
1 - 0
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 2
KAL
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 0
AVA
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
POD
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 1
AVA
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
MET
0 - 5
SOK
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
FAK
4 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 4
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
MET
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 3
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |