Avangard Kursk vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
SOK
0 - 0
AVA
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
4 - 1
FAK
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 2
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 2
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 4
AVA
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
MET
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SOK
1 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
MET
3 - 2
ZVE
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
1 - 0
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
KAL
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |