Avangard Kursk vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 1
AVA
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
AVA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 0
TAM
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 1
AVA
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 3
SPA
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
KHI
1 - 0
YEN
19%
27%
55%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
2 - 0
KHI
77%
17%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
KHI
1 - 2
DIN
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 0
KHI
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
KHI
1 - 1
ARS
17%
26%
56%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |