Avangard Kursk vs Gubkin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 3
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
SOK
0 - 0
AVA
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
4 - 1
FAK
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 2
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 2
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FKG
1 - 0
SOK
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
FAK
3 - 2
FKG
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
FKG
0 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
FKG
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |