Avangard Kursk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ZEN
2 - 1
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
VIT
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TAM
3 - 4
AVA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 3
DIN
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 2
FAK
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
FAK
1 - 0
DIN
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 2
FAK
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
FAK
1 - 1
FCO
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |