Avangard Kursk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 2
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 2
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 4
AVA
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
AVA
4 - 1
FCM
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 2
AVA
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
2 - 0
SOK
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
1 - 0
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
4 - 1
FAK
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FAK
3 - 1
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FAK
0 - 1
VLA
27%
29%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |