Avangard Kursk vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 1
AVA
40%
30%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
AVA
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 2
SAT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
ZEN
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 0
AVA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 3
SAT
18%
22%
59%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ENE
4 - 0
ARS
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 0
ARS
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 2
TOR
11%
26%
63%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ZVE
2 - 1
ARS
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |