Avance Ezcabarte vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avance Ezcabarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
AVA
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
HUA
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVA
43%
23%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 1
SUB
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 3
AVA
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 1
CDB
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 0
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 3
AZK
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 0
MUR
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
MUR
48%
25%
26%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |