Avanca vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
EST
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVA
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
AVA
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
ADN
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
SOU
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 1
COI
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GON
1 - 0
ESP
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALI
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TON
4 - 2
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |