Botafogo ASF vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+276%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
66%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 0
ABS
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ABS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
BOC
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
BAH
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
BOT
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
38%
27%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |