Botafogo ASF vs Independente SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 2
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
ABS
1 - 2
BOQ
13%
17%
70%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SDJ
5 - 0
ABS
80%
13%
7%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ABS
1 - 6
OSE
15%
20%
66%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OSE
4 - 1
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
INS
2 - 2
SDJ
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
INS
5 - 1
AMA
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OSE
0 - 0
INS
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
BOQ
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BOQ
3 - 0
INS
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |