Botafogo ASF vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
5 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LAG
5 - 0
ABS
78%
15%
8%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 5
LAG
11%
18%
71%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
EST
10%
16%
75%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
4 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
LAG
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
3 - 1
EST
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EST
0 - 3
DOR
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 0
DOR
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
4 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | 0 |