Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-4
Avaí vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 4
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
TUB
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 1
VAS
10%
20%
70%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 2
BAN
87%
11%
3%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
RES
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |