Avaí vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
AVA
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
COT
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AVA
6 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
CRZ
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATP
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |