Avaí vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 3
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 1
GOI
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
COR
4 - 0
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 4
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |