Avaí vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRI
3 - 2
AVA
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 1
AVA
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 0
CRB
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
FFL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
AVA
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
FOR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 0
SAM
65%
22%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
BRA
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CRB
2 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PAY
0 - 1
SAM
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |