Avaí vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 2
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
AVA
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PPE
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
PPE
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 2
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |