Avaí vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
AVA
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 2
AMF
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 2
JEC
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
AVA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ICA
3 - 4
AVA
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
AMF
2 - 2
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
FFL
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |