Avaí vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
64%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 2
SCI
17%
29%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 0
AVA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
VAS
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
CSA
3 - 1
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 1
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
ATM
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |