Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-1
Avaí vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
AVA
4 - 0
GUA
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 0
AVA
17%
22%
62%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 0
OPE
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 1
RON
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 0
AVA
17%
22%
62%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
CUI
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
RON
1 - 0
OPE
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |