Avaí vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 0
BOA
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 1
SAM
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRI
3 - 2
AVA
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OES
0 - 0
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 0
OES
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OES
0 - 0
SAM
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 3
OES
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OES
0 - 0
PPE
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |