Avaí vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 0
AVA
25%
26%
50%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
ABC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 3
AVA
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
OES
4 - 1
ARN
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 0
OES
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OES
0 - 2
JEC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
PAY
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |