Avaí vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 2
AVA
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 0
VAS
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 2
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
MET
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |