Avaí vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
71%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
1 - 1
AVA
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 2
BRU
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
3 - 0
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 1
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JEC
1 - 4
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |