Avaí vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
12%
17%
71%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRU
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
CRI
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
MET
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
5 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
FFL
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |