Avaí vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 1
IMB
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CHA
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
1 - 1
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
BRU
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
FFL
14%
21%
66%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
0 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |