Avaí vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
43%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AVA
0 - 1
FFL
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 0
AVA
8%
19%
73%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
0 - 0
AVA
32%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
AVA
1 - 0
SCA
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
3 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRU
15%
24%
61%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
JEC
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
0 - 0
FFL
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |