Avaí vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
AVA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
ECP
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
AVA
10%
21%
69%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
BAR
82%
14%
5%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
JEC
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
JEC
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
CAC
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |