Avaí vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRZ
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 3
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
AVA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
SAN
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PPE
1 - 0
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
JEC
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
JEC
3 - 1
COT
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |