Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-2
Avaí vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
+7
0.7%
6-0
2.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
5.6%
+5
5.6%
4-0
12%
+4
12%
3-0
20.5%
+3
20.5%
2-0
26.4%
+2
26.4%
1-0
22.6%
+1
22.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
0
9.7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
4 - 0
AVA
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
71%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
1 - 1
AVA
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
IFC
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
IFC
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 0
DEM
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |