Avaí vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 0
AVA
19%
20%
61%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
CRI
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
HER
75%
18%
8%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 3
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |