Avaí vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 1
AVA
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 0
JUV
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
AVA
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
AVA
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |