Avaí vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
4 - 0
MET
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 0
PPE
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 1
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
FOR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 2
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |