Avaí vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 2
AVA
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 2
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 2
INT
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 2
AVA
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
BRU
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
CRI
16%
22%
61%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 2
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |