Avaí vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
AVA
12%
19%
70%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HER
4 - 3
AVA
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
AVA
12%
17%
71%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
7 - 0
GUA
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |