Avaí vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
AVA
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
AVA
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
COT
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
FLU
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 4
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 2
COR
44%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |