Avaí vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
62.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
COR
17%
28%
55%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRZ
22%
28%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 1
FLA
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 3
FLA
20%
25%
55%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
SCI
62%
22%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 4
FLA
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |