Catarinense 1 Final
Global 5-1
Avaí vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
39%
24%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
AVA
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 2
CAM
89%
8%
3%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |