Avaí vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
46%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HER
4 - 3
CRI
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 2
GRÊ
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 1
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
PPE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |